Mr. Le Van Thanh is the latest official to have died and according to inside information, he had suffered from a strange disease similar to late State President Tran Dai Quang.
It can be said that the time when Nguyen Phu Trong ascended the throne was the time when leaders of the Communist Party fought each other the most fiercely. Many deaths of members of the Party Central Committee and members of the Politburo followed one after another. It is reported that in the near future, this is Mr. Nguyen Chi Vinh, a person who was heading the General Department of Intelligence under the Defense Ministry.
In 2014, Deputy Minister of Public Security Pham Quy Ngo died unexpectedly after Duong Tu Trong revealed a bribery ring that, if arrested, could reveal a higher character. Pham Quy Ngo died just in time so that his comrades could live. After Pham Quy Ngo, came the case of Nguyen Ba Thanh. After Nguyen Ba Thanh, it was Tran Dai Quang’s turn. After Tran Dai Quang is Le Van Thanh and possibly next will be Nguyen Chi Vinh.
Not everyone’s sudden death was a hand of the General Secretary. Those who have died are from his side and the opposition side. The problem is that since Nguyen Phu Trong has taken the position of General Secretary, he stirred up the Communist Party and caused fierce battles. Even Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong himself once almost died when he went right into the den of Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung’s house in Kien Giang to look.
The lack of transparency in the political environment is a good condition for mafia-style power struggles to flourish. What can use the law, they push each other to court, and what can’t use the law, the comrades act cruelly against each other like competing for the leadership role in criminal gangs.
Currently Nguyen Phu Trong is 79 years old, by 2026 he will be 82 years old, however, there is no sign that Mr. Trong will retire in 2026. Up to this moment, the fighting strength of Mr. Mr. Trong is still very strong with no signs of slowing down.
In the past, Trong has overturned the bet twice. It was thought that he sat in the General Secretary’s chair and then gave it up, but then he only deceived his subordinates, when he was able to sit in the seat of power, he did not yield to anyone. In 2016, information from the inside said that Mr. Trong won a special position and would sit for half a term and then give it to Dinh The Huynh, however, when he was seated for the 2nd term, he made Dinh The Huynh disappointed and that is the cause leading to the formation of a group of “treasonists” whose purpose is force Trong to retire to pave the way for many people to advance. If Mr. Trong is eliminated, Dinh La Thang will move to the Central Committee, Dinh The Huynh will replace Mr. Trong and Tran Dai Quang will be safe. However, the conspiracy to create treason failed and this group had to be dispersed, including some who had to die.
If Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong refuses to release his party chief position in 2026, it is possible that his current person, Vuong Dinh Hue, will also lose patience. Currently, Mr. Hue is considered the “chosen person,” however, no one can be sure that Mr. Trong will transfer power, because in the past Dinh The Huynh was disappointed and had to take risks and failure.
It is said that, as soon as Mr. Trong fell into a state of death when he suddenly fell ill in Kien Giang, but he still refused to release his position, it was very difficult to tell him to let go. Mr. Trong is a profound person who is difficult to predict. Perhaps the group with the ambition to sit in the General Secretary’s seat also needs to be proactive rather than waiting for time, waiting for Mr. Trong to voluntarily come down will sometimes lose the opportunity forever.
Currently, there are two strongest candidates to replace Mr. Trong, namely incumbent Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh and Chairman of the National Assembly Vuong Dinh Hue. The Prime Minister is more proactive, he is fighting for a higher seat, while the Chairman of the National Assembly is waiting for his time. If they don’t act quickly and wait for the right time, they may fall ill before the General Secretary dies.
Vu Anh (translated)